OneSpaWorld (OSW) Q3 2025: AI Rollout Touches 180 Ships, Productivity and Cash Return Accelerate

OneSpaWorld’s Q3 showcased record revenue and EBITDA, fueled by higher guest spend, new ship launches, and early-stage AI-driven productivity gains. Management reinforced its asset-light, cash-generative model with a 25% dividend hike and stepped-up buybacks, while AI projects are now deployed across 180 vessels. With momentum in pre-cruise bookings and premium service mix, OSW raised its 2025 guidance, signaling confidence in both near-term execution and long-term structural growth.

Summary

  • AI Deployment: Early-stage automation and machine learning tools now active on 180 ships, targeting revenue and efficiency gains.
  • Premium Service Expansion: Higher-value MediSpa offerings and technology upgrades drove double-digit treatment growth.
  • Capital Return Acceleration: Share buybacks and a 25% dividend increase signal confidence in cash flow durability and growth outlook.

Performance Analysis

OneSpaWorld delivered record quarterly revenue and adjusted EBITDA, with both metrics at the high end of guidance, marking the company’s 18th consecutive period of YoY growth on both lines. Top-line expansion was driven by a combination of new ship launches, increased guest spend, and higher penetration rates, as well as the continued rollout of premium MediSpa, IV therapy, and acupuncture services. Fleet count rose to 204 ships with an average of 199 in the quarter, up from 195 a year ago, reflecting ongoing cruise industry fleet growth and OSW’s ability to win new contracts.

Productivity metrics improved across the board: revenue per passenger per day, weekly revenue, and staff retention all posted gains, with experienced staff driving outsized revenue contribution. Pre-cruise bookings remain a standout, now at 22% of service revenue (excluding MediSpa), and management highlighted that guests who pre-book spend up to 30% more. On the cost side, service margin was 17.3%, slightly below last year on cruise line mix, but up sequentially and still robust. Cash flow supported aggressive capital return: $17.6M in buybacks, $4.1M in dividends, and $11.3M in debt paydown, with liquidity of $80.8M at quarter end.

  • Premium Service Momentum: Double-digit growth in MediSpa treatments, with new tech like Marge FLX and CoolSculpting Elite boosting treatment volume 40-60% YoY.
  • Staff Leverage: Five-point YoY increase in staff retention, with cross-training driving higher facility utilization and revenue per staff day.
  • Pre-cruise Booking Upside: Pre-booked services now 22% of service revenue, with pre-bookers spending 30% more than onboard bookers.

OSW’s asset-light cruise spa model continues to deliver robust free cash flow, empowering both growth investment and stepped-up capital return. The company’s guidance raise and visibility into new ship additions support a constructive outlook into 2026.

Executive Commentary

"Our sustained rates of growth demonstrates the power of our complex global operating platform and our team's unwavering commitment to deliver exceptional experiences for our guests and outstanding performance for our cruise line and destination customers."

Leonard Fluxman, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

"Fueled by our strong cash flow generation, driven by our capital efficient asset-light business model that generates predictable strong free cash flow, we return $4.1 million to our shareholders through our quarterly dividend payment and $17.6 million from the repurchase of 816,000 common shares during the quarter while repaying $11.3 million on our term loan facility."

Stephen Lazarus, President, COO, and CFO

Strategic Positioning

1. AI-Enabled Productivity and Revenue Optimization

OSW’s AI initiatives are now live on 180 vessels for operational efficiency and 40 ships for revenue optimization, marking a rapid scale-up from initial pilots. The company’s machine learning project targets yield and utilization, while automated problem resolution tools have already reduced help desk needs and improved response times. Management expects quantifiable financial benefits to become visible by mid-2026, but early feedback is positive and CapEx is being prioritized to accelerate these deployments.

2. Premium Service and Technology Expansion

MediSpa services (injectables, body contouring, IV therapy) remain a core growth lever, now available on 150 ships, up from 144 last year. New devices like Marge FLX and CoolSculpting Elite have cut treatment times and boosted revenue per guest, with double-digit growth in these high-value offerings. Acupuncture and LED light therapy continue to see strong add-on demand, supporting higher average guest spend and frequency.

3. Talent Management and Facility Utilization

Redesigned talent management and cross-training programs are increasing staff flexibility and facility utilization, moving away from single-modality specialization. This allows OSW to better match staffing to demand peaks (sea days, port days), and has contributed to a five-point YoY increase in staff retention, with experienced staff generating higher revenue per day than first-contract employees.

4. Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

OSW is aggressively returning capital, with a 25% dividend hike, stepped-up buybacks ($32.6M YTD including post-quarter purchases), and ongoing debt reduction. Management continues to prioritize opportunistic buybacks, then dividends, then debt paydown, supported by ample liquidity and a $50M undrawn revolver.

5. Cruise Industry Tailwinds and Private Island Expansion

OSW’s growth is tethered to cruise industry fleet expansion and itinerary shifts, with new ship launches and increased focus on private island destinations (Bahamas, Caribbean, Europe) creating incremental spa opportunities. Management is in discussions to expand infrastructure on these marquee islands, with potential for further penetration as cruise lines enhance land-sea vacation integration.

Key Considerations

OSW’s Q3 reflects a business firing on multiple cylinders: operational execution, premium mix shift, and early-stage technology leverage, all while maintaining capital discipline. The company’s asset-light cruise spa model, defined as operating spa and wellness centers on ships without owning the underlying assets, continues to generate strong, predictable free cash flow.

Key Considerations:

  • AI Benefit Timing: While AI tools are live on most of the fleet, management expects tangible margin and productivity gains to be evident only from mid-2026 onward.
  • Service Mix and Margin: Q3 service margin dipped YoY due to cruise line mix, not guest downtrading, and is expected to remain robust as premium service penetration rises.
  • Pre-cruise Booking Penetration: At 22% of service revenue, pre-cruise booking has room for further expansion, with AI-driven initiatives targeting higher conversion and spend.
  • Capital Return Flexibility: Buybacks remain opportunistic, not programmatic, with management targeting a $25M cash floor and $50M revolver for added flexibility.

Risks

Key risks include cruise industry cyclicality, as OSW’s revenue is directly linked to cruise passenger volumes and fleet growth. Execution risk exists around AI initiative scaling and measurable ROI, with management signaling that benefits will not be immediate. Global minimum tax remains a watchpoint, though OSW expects to remain unaffected pending successful reorganization. Any material shift in cruise line itineraries or guest spending patterns could also impact results.

Forward Outlook

For Q4 2025, OSW guided to:

  • Total revenue of $241M to $246M
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $30M to $32M

For full-year 2025, management raised guidance:

  • Total revenue of $960M to $965M (8% YoY growth at midpoint)
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $122M to $124M (10% YoY growth at midpoint)

Management highlighted strong momentum into Q4, continued cruise line fleet expansion, and the ongoing rollout of new health and wellness centers. AI-driven productivity gains are expected to become more visible from mid-2026, while premium service and pre-cruise booking initiatives underpin near-term growth.

  • Two new ship launches in Q4 bolster visibility
  • AI and automation investments to remain a CapEx focus into 2026

Takeaways

OSW’s Q3 demonstrates robust operational execution, strong cash generation, and early traction from AI and premium service initiatives, all while returning capital at an accelerated pace.

  • AI and Talent Drive Productivity: Cross-training and automation are unlocking higher guest penetration and facility utilization, with measurable impact expected by mid-2026.
  • Capital Return Signals Confidence: The 25% dividend increase and stepped-up buybacks reflect management’s conviction in the durability of the business model and future cash flow.
  • Premium Mix and Cruise Tailwinds: Continued cruise industry growth, private island expansion, and premium service adoption position OSW for compounding revenue and margin gains into 2026.

Conclusion

OneSpaWorld’s Q3 2025 performance underscores the strength of its asset-light cruise spa platform, with record financials, rising premium service mix, and early-stage AI productivity projects now deployed at scale. With capital return accelerating and guidance raised, OSW is positioned for continued structural growth as cruise industry tailwinds persist and technology initiatives mature.

Industry Read-Through

OSW’s results highlight the ongoing strength and pricing power in cruise and experiential travel, with premium wellness services and technology-driven productivity emerging as key differentiators. The rapid AI rollout and focus on pre-cruise bookings offer a playbook for other asset-light, high-touch service operators looking to drive margin and utilization gains. For the broader leisure and hospitality sector, the durability of guest spend and the ability to monetize ancillary services remain critical, especially as operators seek to offset labor and cost inflation with technology and premiumization.