Sunita Senior Living (SNDA) Q3 2025: $1.8B CHP Acquisition Sets 10% Yield Benchmark for Expansion

Sunita Senior Living’s $1.8 billion CHP acquisition signals a scale-driven shift, with integration and operational leverage at the forefront as the company targets higher occupancy and margin expansion. Portfolio NOI climbed sharply, but execution on labor controls and selective asset pruning remain critical for sustaining margin gains. Management’s focus on technology-driven staffing and disciplined capital allocation points to a more resilient post-merger platform, though integration and labor volatility are key watchpoints into 2026.

Summary

  • Acquisition-Driven Scale Shift: CHP deal accelerates portfolio quality and liquidity, setting up Sunita for expanded growth and optimization.
  • Labor Control and Technology Rollout: Margin improvement hinges on new tech platforms and tighter labor management as occupancy nears 90%.
  • Integration and Asset Pruning Watch: Success depends on smooth integration and decisive action on underperforming communities.

Performance Analysis

Sunita Senior Living delivered robust top-line and margin gains in Q3, propelled by both organic occupancy recovery and recent acquisitions. Portfolio net operating income (NOI) surged, with total NOI up 21% year over year and adjusted EBITDA up more than 30%, reflecting strong flow-through from acquired communities and disciplined general and administrative (G&A) management. Same store occupancy increased to 87.7%, peaking at 88% in October, while the acquisition portfolio outperformed with a 370 basis point sequential occupancy jump and a 22% NOI increase quarter over quarter.

Operationally, the company’s 2024 acquisitions—many of which were distressed—now generate a 10% yield on cost, exceeding the original 18–24 month stabilization timeline. Labor volatility earlier in the quarter weighed on margins, but improved controls and technology tools in the back half drove a 2.5% reduction in labor hours per resident day. Rate increases, particularly in level-of-care fees, added to revenue momentum, while G&A expenses normalized following last year’s build-out.

  • Occupancy Momentum: Spot occupancy reached 89% by October’s end, with move-ins increasingly sourced internally, reducing reliance on costly third-party referrals.
  • Acquisition Outperformance: Acquired communities accelerated occupancy and NOI growth, with distressed assets achieving stabilization ahead of schedule.
  • Labor and Expense Management: Labor expense spikes from rapid occupancy gains were addressed with new oversight, but utility costs and underperforming Texas assets remain margin headwinds.

Portfolio quality and leverage are set for further improvement with the CHP acquisition, but execution risk around integration, labor, and asset optimization remains elevated as Sunita targets continued growth and margin expansion into 2026.

Executive Commentary

"The structure of the [CHP] transaction achieves four simple but highly impactful objectives. First, it is accretive to the quality and age of our real estate... Second, the transaction is significantly accretive to AFFO per share through structural and operational synergies, while at the same time, it materially reduces leverage... The addition of high quality real estate located in strong growth markets further enhances the near and long-term earnings power of the portfolio and creates additional flexibility for portfolio optimization as we look to recycle out of select, lower growth assets into higher return acquisitions."

Brandon Rebar, President and CEO

"The availability of more robust technology related to labor has allowed for increased visibility in communities where costs have not flexed with the pace of occupancy growth, or where premium labor has weighed down margin expansion. Our finance, clinical, and HR teams... are working collectively with operational leadership to ensure community staffing aligns with the needs of our residents."

Kevin, CFO

Strategic Positioning

1. Portfolio Quality and Scale via CHP Acquisition

The $1.8 billion acquisition of CNL Healthcare Properties (CHP) is a transformative move, immediately upgrading Sunita’s portfolio age, quality, and market exposure. The deal is structured to be accretive to adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share, lowers leverage, and increases free float liquidity, positioning Sunita for more active asset recycling and future acquisitions. Management intends to resume its prior acquisition pace post-integration, leveraging increased free cash flow and a new $300 million revolver to pursue high-return opportunities.

2. Operational Leverage and Labor Management

Margin expansion is increasingly tied to technology-enabled labor management and clinical platform investments. The rollout of a new electronic health record system, enhanced scheduling tools, and nurse call data allows for granular oversight of labor hours and cost variability at the community level. This is designed to support efficient staffing as occupancy rises, with a stated goal of reaching 90% occupancy and 30%+ margin in select communities.

3. Acquisition Integration and Asset Pruning

Sunita’s ability to rapidly stabilize and improve acquired communities is now a core competency, with recent deals achieving 10% yield on cost in less than a year. However, management is explicit about pruning underperforming assets—particularly in Texas—where margin drag persists. The integration of CHP will test Sunita’s platform scalability and discipline in identifying which assets to invest in, restructure, or divest.

4. Capital Structure and Liquidity Enhancement

Recent refinancing activity has extended debt maturities (80% of debt to 2029 or later) and locked in a weighted average interest rate of 5.5%, with most variable debt hedged. The company’s credit facility remains underutilized, and the post-CHP transaction liquidity position is set to improve, supporting both internal ROI projects and bolt-on deals.

5. Talent Retention and Leadership Depth

Employee and leadership turnover rates are trending favorably, attributed to investments in wages, benefits, and culture. Recruiting and retaining talent is seen as essential for scaling operations and integrating new assets, with external interest in Sunita’s platform described as elevated.

Key Considerations

This quarter’s results reflect a platform in transition: Sunita is leveraging acquisitions and technology to drive growth, but execution risk rises as scale and complexity increase. The company’s ability to deliver on integration, labor discipline, and asset optimization will determine whether recent gains are sustainable.

Key Considerations:

  • Integration Playbook Under Scrutiny: CHP’s scale will stress-test Sunita’s integration capabilities and operational discipline, with upside if synergies are captured and disruption is minimized.
  • Margin Expansion Linked to Labor Controls: Labor volatility remains a key margin determinant, with new tech platforms aiming to align staffing with resident needs as occupancy grows.
  • Asset Pruning and Portfolio Optimization: Management’s willingness to divest underperformers is critical for long-term margin and capital efficiency.
  • Liquidity and Capital Flexibility: Post-deal balance sheet and revolver capacity support continued internal investment and opportunistic acquisitions.
  • Rate and Fee Growth as Margin Levers: Private pay rate increases and higher level-of-care fees are supporting revenue, but competitive pressures could limit future pricing power.

Risks

Integration risk looms large as Sunita absorbs CHP, with potential for operational disruption or delayed synergy realization. Labor cost control remains a persistent challenge, especially in high-turnover or underperforming markets. Macroeconomic shocks, regulatory shifts in senior living, and interest rate volatility could impact occupancy, pricing, and refinancing plans, while asset pruning carries execution and valuation risks.

Forward Outlook

For Q4 2025, Sunita expects:

  • Continued sequential occupancy gains, targeting 90% portfolio occupancy.
  • Further margin improvement as labor controls and tech investments scale across communities.

For full-year 2025, management maintained guidance:

  • NOI and AFFO growth driven by acquisition stabilization and same store recovery.

Management highlighted several factors that will shape results:

  • CHP transaction closing and integration timing (late Q1 or early Q2 2026).
  • Potential for asset recycling and resumed acquisition pace post-integration.

Takeaways

Sunita’s Q3 marks an inflection point, with the CHP acquisition setting a new bar for portfolio quality, scale, and financial flexibility. Execution on integration, labor management, and asset optimization will drive the next phase of value creation.

  • Acquisition Integration is Pivotal: CHP’s successful onboarding and synergy capture will define Sunita’s ability to scale profitably and recycle capital into higher-return assets.
  • Margin Expansion Hinges on Execution: Labor discipline and technology adoption are necessary to sustain recent NOI and EBITDA growth as occupancy approaches 90%.
  • Asset Optimization Remains a Key Lever: Pruning underperforming communities and redeploying capital will be critical for driving returns and supporting future acquisitions.

Conclusion

Sunita Senior Living’s Q3 performance and the CHP acquisition underscore a decisive pivot toward scaled, technology-enabled growth. The playbook now depends on flawless execution in integration, labor control, and asset optimization—investors should monitor these levers for sustained upside as the platform expands.

Industry Read-Through

Sunita’s accelerated acquisition integration, technology-driven labor management, and willingness to prune underperforming assets highlight an industry trend toward operational scale and capital discipline in senior living. As occupancy recovers and consolidation intensifies, operators with robust integration playbooks and flexible capital structures are best positioned to capture growth and margin. The sector’s focus is shifting from pure occupancy recovery to sustainable margin expansion and portfolio optimization, with technology and talent retention as critical enablers. Investors in senior housing and healthcare REITs should track these themes for broader sector implications.