FNF (FNF) Q4 2025: Commercial Title Revenue Jumps 27% as Tech Drives Margin Expansion

FNF’s fourth quarter underscored a robust rebound in commercial title revenue and margin expansion, powered by disciplined cost controls and technology adoption. The company’s direct commercial business delivered standout growth despite a still-muted housing market, while ongoing investments in digital platforms and AI are translating into structural efficiency gains. With a strong pipeline and improving order trends, FNF enters 2026 with momentum in both title and F&G, though macro housing headwinds and deal mix remain key watchpoints.

Summary

  • Commercial Title Outperformance: Direct commercial revenue surged, offsetting continued residential softness.
  • Tech-Enabled Margin Expansion: Digital platform adoption and AI-driven productivity underpin industry-leading title margins.
  • 2026 Outlook Hinges on Housing Turn: Pipeline strength and rate sensitivity position FNF for upside if mortgage rates decline.

Performance Analysis

FNF’s Q4 results reflected resilient execution in a persistently low-volume real estate market, as the title segment posted adjusted pre-tax title earnings of $401 million and a 17.5% margin, both up from the prior year. Direct commercial revenue was the clear star, rising 27% year-over-year to $479 million, driven by a 33% jump in national revenues and a 20% increase in local revenues. This strength compensated for flat purchase order volumes and only modest improvement in residential activity, where home sales remain near multi-decade lows.

Refinance activity showed signs of life as lower mortgage rates spurred a 38% year-over-year increase in refinance orders opened, with January volumes accelerating further. However, agency premium growth lagged direct premiums (7% vs. 21%), highlighting the impact of business mix and the outsized contribution from commercial transactions. Expense discipline and digital adoption helped drive incremental margin gains despite wage inflation and tech investment. Meanwhile, F&G, FNF’s annuity and life insurance business, continued its steady expansion, growing assets under management 12% year-over-year to $73.1 billion and contributing 30% of full-year adjusted net earnings.

  • Commercial Fee Profile Volatility: Larger deal sizes lifted average fees, but future mix and pipeline composition remain unpredictable.
  • Refi Sensitivity to Rates: Even a 25 basis point move in mortgage rates could unlock millions of refinance opportunities, per management’s ICE data reference.
  • Cash Generation and Capital Return: FNF returned $800 million to shareholders in 2025 via dividends and buybacks, while maintaining a strong liquidity position.

Overall, FNF’s ability to sustain margins and cash flow through the cycle is increasingly underpinned by its technology investments and diversified business mix, with commercial activity and digital execution serving as key levers.

Executive Commentary

"Our title business delivered outstanding results in the current environment. We had adjusted pre-tax title earnings of $401 million in the fourth quarter and $1.4 billion for the full year. This generated industry-leading adjusted pre-tax title margins of 17.5% in the fourth quarter and 15.9% for the full year. Our fourth quarter results reflect strong performance across the business, highlighted by exceptional strength in our direct commercial business. Additionally, our disciplined expense management drove strong incremental margins."

Mike Nolan, Chief Executive Officer

"Our title segment generated $2.3 billion in total revenue in the fourth quarter, excluding net recognized losses of $58 million, compared with $2.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024. Direct premiums increased 21% over the prior year. Agency premiums increased 7%, and escrow, title-related, and other fees increased 9%... All in, the title business generated adjusted pre-tax title earnings of $401 million compared with $343 million for the fourth quarter of 2024 and a 17.5% adjusted pre-tax title margin for the quarter versus 16.6% in the prior year quarter."

Tony Park, Chief Financial Officer

Strategic Positioning

1. Commercial Title as a Growth Anchor

Commercial transactions have become FNF’s primary growth lever, with direct revenue and order volumes rising sharply. The business is benefiting from activity across diverse asset classes—industrial, multifamily, retail, and energy—while office remains a suppressed but potentially accretive wild card for 2026. Management highlights a robust closing pipeline and order momentum into the new year, positioning commercial for continued outperformance relative to the broader real estate cycle.

2. Technology-Driven Efficiency and Margin Resilience

FNF’s inHere, digital transaction platform, now engages 80% of residential sales, reaching 2.8 million users in 2025. AI tools and proprietary data automation are driving measurable productivity gains, with over 90% of total volume touched by FNF’s curated data stack. These initiatives have enabled the company to expand margins even as transaction volumes remain depressed, establishing a structural cost and service advantage as the market recovers.

3. F&G as a Diversification and Capital Engine

F&G, annuity and life insurance business, continues to scale, growing AUM and increasing its dividend to FNF. The recent share distribution increased F&G’s public float, enhancing market liquidity and institutional participation while FNF retains majority control. F&G is expected to be a meaningful source of capital via annual dividends, supporting FNF’s shareholder return strategy and providing ballast against cyclical title swings.

4. Balanced Capital Allocation and M&A Readiness

FNF’s capital deployment remains disciplined, with a steady cadence of dividends, opportunistic buybacks, and renewed focus on M&A, particularly in title agency and technology adjacencies. Management signals increased acquisition appetite in 2026, supported by robust cash flow and a strong liquidity position.

Key Considerations

FNF’s Q4 performance and commentary reveal a business leaning into its strengths while preparing for cyclical recovery and further digital transformation. Investors should weigh the following:

Key Considerations:

  • Commercial Title as Counter-Cyclical Offset: Sustained commercial strength is masking residential softness, but deal size and asset mix volatility could swing results quarter to quarter.
  • AI and Digital Platform Penetration: Ongoing migration to inHere and AI-driven workflow automation are core to future margin upside, with engagement targeted above 90%.
  • Refi and Purchase Sensitivity to Rates: Even small movements in mortgage rates could drive significant volume upside, especially in refinance, given pent-up demand and locked-in homeowners.
  • Capital Allocation Optionality: With $659 million in holding company liquidity and a strong cash generation outlook, FNF is positioned to increase buybacks and pursue M&A as opportunities arise.
  • F&G Dividend Growth: The segment’s transition to more fee-based, capital-light products supports higher dividend flows back to FNF, bolstering total shareholder return.

Risks

Persistent housing market weakness, driven by high mortgage rates and affordability constraints, remains a material risk to residential title volumes. Commercial revenue is subject to deal mix and size variability, which can introduce quarter-to-quarter earnings swings. Regulatory uncertainty around title insurance pilots and digital closing standards could disrupt established workflows or fee structures. Finally, technology execution risk exists if digital adoption or AI productivity gains stall, or if competitors close the innovation gap.

Forward Outlook

For Q1 2026, FNF management expects:

  • Title order volumes to benefit from seasonally stronger January and improving rate environment
  • Commercial pipeline to support revenue at or above Q4 run-rate, with potential upside if office activity improves

For full-year 2026, management maintained a constructive outlook:

  • Title margin expected to move toward the midpoint of the 15% to 20% normalized range if volume trends hold
  • F&G to continue dividend growth and capital contribution

Management highlighted several factors that will influence results:

  • Mortgage rate trajectory and its impact on purchase and refinance volumes
  • Commercial deal mix and fee profile variability
  • Continued digital adoption and technology-driven efficiency gains

Takeaways

FNF’s Q4 2025 results demonstrate the power of commercial diversification and digital execution in sustaining profitability through housing market lows.

  • Commercial Title as Margin Driver: Direct commercial revenue growth and strong order trends are supporting margins and cash flow even as residential remains below historical norms.
  • Digital and AI Execution: Broad adoption of inHere and AI tools is translating into structural cost advantages and higher productivity, positioning FNF for outperformance as volumes recover.
  • 2026 Watchpoints: Investors should monitor mortgage rate movements, commercial deal mix, and the pace of technology and M&A deployment for signs of upside or renewed volatility.

Conclusion

FNF exits 2025 with commercial title momentum, robust margins, and a technology-driven operational edge. With a strong pipeline and improving order trends, the company is poised to capitalize on any housing market recovery in 2026, while its F&G business and disciplined capital allocation provide stability and upside optionality.

Industry Read-Through

FNF’s results reinforce the critical role of commercial real estate in offsetting residential softness across the title insurance sector. Technology adoption and AI-driven workflow automation are becoming table stakes for margin expansion and operational resilience, setting a bar for peers. The sensitivity of refinance and purchase activity to incremental rate movements remains a key lever for all mortgage and settlement services businesses. Finally, F&G’s growth and capital-light pivot highlight the value of diversified, fee-based income streams in cyclical financial services models.